Greater Moncton Real Estate Market Update – March 2025: Sales, Trends, and Opportunities

The real estate market in Southeast New Brunswick experienced a moderate contraction in February 2025, with sales volume declining by 2% compared to the same period in 2024. A total of 244 properties were sold, contributing to a year-to-date total of 476 transactions, marking a 3% decline from last year. While this translates to a relatively small reduction of 15 fewer transactions, the more notable shift is in total dollar volume, which has dropped 12% since the beginning of the year.

Monthly Sales and Year-to-Date Performance

While overall sales volume has remained relatively stable, the larger decrease in total dollar value and the growing supply of properties indicate an important shift in market conditions. The total dollar value of sales has declined by 12%, reflecting potential softening in price appreciation or shifting buyer behavior.

Market Value and Property Trends

The average sale price in February 2025 was $370,779, with properties spending an average of 78 days on the market. This suggests that while demand remains steady, buyers are taking more time to make purchasing decisions, possibly due to shifting economic conditions or increased inventory.

Increasing Supply Signals a Shift

The market continues to see growth in available inventory, with 1,718 active listings at the end of February. New listings surged by 11% year-over-year, with 473 properties added to the market during the month. Cumulatively, 955 properties have been listed since the beginning of 2025, reflecting an 18% increase compared to the same period in 2024. This increase in supply is an important indicator of a transitioning market, as more sellers enter the market amid shifting demand dynamics.

Market Balance and List-to-Sale Ratio

A key metric highlighting the evolving market conditions is the list-to-sale ratio, which declined to 55% in February, representing a 9-point drop from last year. This suggests that more properties are being listed than sold, signaling a move toward a more balanced market after a prolonged period of seller-favored conditions.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

The Greater Moncton real estate market is shifting toward greater balance. Rising inventory and longer time on market provide buyers with increased choice and negotiating power, while sellers may need to adjust pricing strategies to remain competitive. Both buyers and sellers should closely monitor pricing trends and market absorption rates in the coming months to make informed decisions.

Conclusion

While overall sales volume has only slightly declined, the combination of lower total dollar value, increased inventory, and a reduced list-to-sale ratio suggests a market that is becoming more balanced. This presents opportunities for both buyers and sellers to navigate the changing landscape strategically.

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